The Deputy Head of the Security Council of Russia, Dmitry Medvedev, believes that Ukraine as a country will inevitably disappear, but that this can happen according to different scenarios. On Telegram, Medvedev described several possible scenarios of how Ukraine will disappear, as well as the risk of renewed conflicts in Europe and the world, reports Sputnik.
It will depend on which way the process of disintegration of that dying state will take due to the lost military conflict. There are two paths, either the path of relatively slow erosion of Ukrainian statehood with the gradual loss of the remaining elements of state sovereignty, or the path of immediate collapse with the simultaneous cancellation of all signs of statehood, Medvedev said. After such a collapse, in his opinion, three scenarios are likely.
Western territories of Ukraine join a number of European Union countries. The people of the central and some other Ukrainian regions, within the framework of Article 1 of the UN Charter, immediately declare self-determination by joining Russia. Their request is respected and the conflict ends with sufficient guarantees that it will not continue in the long term, Medvedev wrote, noting that this is the scenario that Russia needs.
Another scenario is that Ukraine disappears after the end of a special military operation in the process of its division between Russia and a number of EU countries. As he added, the third scenario is the transition of the western part of Ukraine under the control of a number of EU countries after the collapse of the country and the entry of the remaining territory into NATO. According to Medvedev, in that case the armed conflict would escalate into a permanent conflict and there would be a danger of a third world war.